Rain chances return to the Phoenix area this weekend as clouds increase and temperatures dip

Rain chances appear set to rise across the Phoenix metro area later this week

Phoenix-area residents can expect a shift from sunny, mild conditions toward a cloudier pattern with at least a limited window for showers this weekend. The week begins with dry weather and daytime temperatures in the 70s, before clouds increase and highs trend cooler heading into Friday.

Forecast conditions for Phoenix show sunshine and seasonable warmth on Tuesday, January 20, followed by a mix of sun and clouds Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday, January 23, the outlook turns mostly cloudy, with daytime highs dipping into the upper 60s—several degrees lower than earlier in the week. The most notable change is expected Saturday, January 24, when morning showers are possible before conditions turn partly sunny again.

What the timing suggests for the Valley

The current forecast points to a relatively brief rain opportunity rather than a prolonged wet period. Saturday’s forecast includes “a couple of morning showers,” after which clouds and sun are expected to alternate through the rest of the day. Sunshine and a few clouds return on Sunday, January 25, and the early outlook for Monday, January 26 remains partly sunny.

• Tuesday–Thursday (Jan. 20–22): Dry conditions with highs generally in the low-to-mid 70s.
• Friday (Jan. 23): Mostly cloudy and cooler, with highs around the upper 60s.
• Saturday (Jan. 24): Morning showers possible, then a mix of clouds and sun.
• Sunday–Monday (Jan. 25–26): A return to drier, brighter conditions.

Why small rain chances can still matter in the Phoenix area

Even limited precipitation can affect travel and outdoor plans, especially if showers coincide with early-day commuting and weekend events. Cloud cover and any rainfall can also moderate temperatures, which is consistent with the forecast cool-down into Friday and Saturday.

For residents planning outdoor activities, the most weather-sensitive period appears to be Saturday morning, January 24.

As with many Arizona weather systems, timing and coverage can change over several days, particularly regarding whether showers remain isolated or become more widespread across the metro area. Residents should monitor updated forecasts as the weekend approaches, especially if plans depend on dry conditions Saturday morning.